Navigating Black Friday Logistics

With Black Friday fast approaching, brands and retailers are in full planning mode, writes Jonny Mocton, CEO at ITD Global.

Officially the biggest shopping day of the year across the globe, Black Friday continues to see sales growing each year. According to Finder’s latest research Brits plan to spend an estimated £3.8 billion on Black Friday and Cyber Monday purchases this year, and despite an unsettled economic climate, analysts are predicting a bumper spend for 2024. So how can retailers prepare for Black Friday, and what can logistic companies do to help them create a seamless customer experience?

Forecast demand

As we all know an efficient customer experience starts with accurate demand forecasting where businesses use existing data from previous years, and current trends such as inflation or changes in consumer behaviour, to predict sales numbers. As in recent years we’re predicting that the 2024 Black Friday sales period will run throughout November and potentially December, giving cautious consumers a longer time period to make their purchases, and also crucially allowing retailers and logistics companies to prevent too much concentration of activity over the Black Friday weekend.

According to IMRG, Black Friday 2024 will see consumers seeking deals earlier, and Experian predict that the early holiday shopping trend will continue to become more pronounced, “with consumers now beginning their end-of-year shopping well before Halloween, seeking to take advantage of early deals and discounts, and spreading out their budget.”

Collaborate with logistic partners

Consumer behaviours and preferences have been changing and reshaping the Black Friday shopping landscape over the last few years. Experian note that online sales are on the rise – “a consistent 1% year-over-year increase in online sales, while in-store sales have seen a 1% decrease.”

Senior account executive at Retail & CPG, Anna Liparoto claims that “it’s easier for consumers to comparison shop for large ticket items online that they might find at a mass retailer or office supply store. Consumers prefer to have larger, bulkier items shipped directly to their home for minimal cost. By shopping online, consumers can save time since they don’t need to wait in checkout lines.”

With this in mind it’s crucial that retailers work in partnership with their logistic partners making sure they’re aware as early as possible of any changes in volume and products, and when key promotional periods will be taking place. Our business model allows retailers to switch carrier providers almost instantly and without penalty, to accommodate changes in delivery demand, making sure that they are getting the best available rates and optimised route planning. This helps our clients to manage high volumes of deliveries efficiently, and ensures packages reach their customers on time, even throughout the peak season.

Enhance customer experience during peak times

While efficient operations are crucial, customer experience remains a key differentiator in the ecommerce space and the peak season is a critical time to make a lasting impression on customers. Whether it’s delivering time-sensitive orders for Black Friday or managing high-volume shipments during the holiday rush, it’s crucial to manage customers’ expectations with realistic delivery dates. Consumers expect transparency and regular communication about their deliveries meaning tech investment is key for retailers and logistics providers. We’ve invested in our own bespoke platform that offers transparent communication regarding delivery times, potential delays, and tracking information.

The impact of returns

Analysts predict that returns strategies will also be crucial for retailers for Black Friday success, as one in every four items purchased during the sale will be returned. Lee Thompson, CEO at Fulfilmentcrowd notes that “when it comes to customer experience, post-purchase will play a critical role, with real-time tracking and hassle-free returns becoming key differentiators.”

Businesses must provide a clear returns policy prominently on their website, making sure it’s easy for customers to find and clearly outlines the steps involved and the timeframes for refunds or exchanges. Delays in processing refunds can frustrate customers and damage a company’s reputation so providing a quick refund is key for retailers.

Laura Morroll, supply chain partner at PWC UK, believes that returns could impact pricing strategies this Black Friday, and adds “the aftermath will pose the same issues it does every year for all parties in the supply chain. It will be interesting to see the impact that charging for returns has on consumer buying as many retailers have introduced it more recently.”

PWC UK’s Consumer Sentiment survey shows that shoppers are feeling more positive thanks to lower inflation and interest rates. Despite this, experts agree that consumers remain cautious to part with their hard-earned cash. As Black Friday approaches, retailers and brands are faced with a number of challenges and opportunities and it is clear that they will have to offer a number of promotional strategies and genuine bargains to stay competitive. However, with strategic planning, strong logistics partnerships, and a commitment to customer satisfaction, we believe that businesses can not only survive but thrive during the 2024 peak season.

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Get ready for Peak Omnichannel Fulfilment

 

Retailers to Reduce Cost and Impact of Returns

New global research from DHL Supply Chain among e-commerce decision makers in retail and consumer goods businesses reveals that the rise in returns is driving a major re-evaluation of policies and processes. Nearly half of the businesses surveyed are considering changes to returns handling processes to bring down the cost and environmental impact of returns.

Returns handling processes that aren’t designed for the current large volumes are a major source of the challenge. Retailers are struggling to effectively process and extract maximum value out of returned items leading to financial loss as well as environmental waste. According to the research, 17% of businesses are turning to disposal as their primary method for handling returned items that aren’t being restocked and sold.

With returns increasing on average 19% in the last two years, recent inflation is causing businesses concern and hastening the need for change.

A lack of integration between e-commerce and other channels is exacerbating the problem as it reduces the ways in which returned items can be restocked and resold. Designing product flows and cycles in the most efficient, and environmentally friendly way is key to tackling this challenge. DHL’s omnichannel returns handling capabilities bring together returns from all sources and its digital returns system enables colleagues to ‘grade’ items to determine the best way to handle the product, whether restocking at full price or discounted rate, repairing, reselling on a secondary marketplace or recycling. DHL then has the capabilities to fully manage the goods through each route, from specialist repairs to charitable donations.

While the financial burden of returns is being felt more acutely due to global economic instability, environmental concern remains one of the main drivers for change. A third of businesses stated they are already calculating the carbon emissions associated with returns and the same number plan to start doing so. What’s more, nearly nine out of ten retailers have plans or targets to reduce carbon emissions associated with returns.

As well as looking at returns handling, businesses are exploring the use of technology to drive down volume such as virtual fitting rooms. Meanwhile, many businesses are considering changes to their customer returns policies with a quarter of those surveyed exploring charges for returns not made in-store. However, these changes are being approached with caution due to concerns they could impact customers.

Nabil Malouli, Senior VP E-commerce & Returns Global, DHL Supply Chain, said: “We’ve reached a tipping point in returns both financially and environmentally, and retailers are right to examine their current returns processes and reverse supply chains. Our research shows that customer experience remains the number one priority for retailers but that doesn’t have to be sacrificed with dramatic changes to returns policies. Innovative ways to bring down overall volumes, combined more sophisticated returns handling capabilities allow retailers to offer faster refunds, quickly restock across multiple channels, repair for resale, and recycle responsibly. Enhancements like these have the potential to drive-up revenue and reduce waste, while also enhancing the overall customer experience.”

The full research findings can be found here. All figures are from an industry survey conducted by YouGov in March 2023 of 1,059 senior decision-makers in e-commerce retail across 5 markets: US, UK, Germany, Japan and Mexico.

Key findings:

• Over the last two years, returns have increased on average 19%
• 54% of businesses are concerned about the cost of returns
• 91% say inflation is driving re-evaluation of returns processes and policies
• 42% are considering changes to their customer returns policies
• 47% are considering changes to their returns handling processes
• 40% want to drive down the volume of returns being disposed of
• 29% currently calculate the carbon emissions associated with returns, 32% plan to start doing so
• 40% have plans to invest in any automation and robotics to improve e-commerce fulfilment and returns processes
• 57% are investing or plan to invest in technology initiatives to reduce returns volumes such as virtual fitting rooms
• 41% of businesses’ e-commerce returns are not integrated with non-e-commerce channels
• 23% are planning to introduce charges for returns not made in store
• 44% are considering plans to reduce the timeframe in which customers can return items
• 46% have concerns that changes to returns policy could impact customer loyalty
• 58% want to be able to offer faster refunds
• To reduce the financial impact of returns, the top priorities are (in order):
. Reducing the volume of returns
. Faster processing of returns
. Reducing the timeframe in which returns can be made
• 72% believe that giving consumers multiple returns options (drop off, collection etc) is positive for customer loyalty

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