Survey Finds 70% of Fleets Impacted by Distracted Driving

According to a recent survey conducted by Teletrac Navman, 70% of businesses have experienced the effects of distracted driving incidents. Notably, 68% of survey respondents identified mobile phone use as the primary cause of these distractions.

Distracted driving remains a pressing issue for businesses operating in today’s fast-paced environment. As the reliance on mobile devices grows, so does the potential for distraction behind the wheel. Teletrac Navman’s survey revealed that nearly 49% of respondents said that distracted driving had a direct financial cost on their business; 40% said it caused operational disruptions; 28% said it led to safety & compliance breaches; and 25% experienced reputational damage. According to the Department for Transport’s 2023 report on Road Accidents & Safety Statistics, there was a staggering 14,121 accidents involving light to heavy goods vehicles, including buses and coaches.

“This is a statistic that underscores the need for urgent action, and this report documents how fleet operators around the world are looking to make a significant change,” said Alain Samaha, CEO, Teletrac Navman. “Safety and distracted driving jeopardizes the lives of drivers and the general public but also poses significant commercial risks. These risks can lead to increased insurance premiums and various direct costs associated with safety incidents, underscoring the critical importance of prioritizing safe driving practices within the industry.”

Technology, training, and developing a culture of safety are three tactics being employed by fleet operators to reduce the number of incidents. Among the array of technologies employed, 78% of respondents are using advanced telematics solutions. This includes various tools such as forward-facing cameras, driver-facing dash cams and digital coaching apps, which collectively enhance visibility into driver behavior and operational safety.

70% of respondents are using technology in conjunction with coaching programs to reinforce safe driving practices. This combination is proving effective, particularly with driver and forward-facing cameras, where an impressive 80% of users reported a positive impact. This shows a clear correlation between the overall effectiveness of interventions and the variety of solutions deployed and that the most substantial impact is achieved through the implementation of multiple, complementary solutions. In fact, 73% of respondents believe their solutions for reducing distracted driving were effective, with the data providing insights into the perceived impact of these solutions.

“Our customers seek effective solutions that not only enhance driver well-being but also ensure operational efficiency and sustainability, but prioritizing safety is paramount,” added Samaha. “Our commitment is to empower fleet operators with the tools they need to create safer work environments.”

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Energy Storage to be Major Challenge for Logistics Industry in 2025

In its latest report, Toyota Material Handling emphasizes that energy storage will become a critical concern as electrification gains momentum.

High-Capacity Batteries: The Future of Energy Infrastructure

The Trends in Logistics 2024 report from Toyota Material Handling stresses that as companies transition to electric vehicles and battery-powered equipment, effective energy storage will be vital. The report argues that high-capacity batteries could play a crucial role in the UK’s future energy strategy, potentially powering entire industrial sites—or even cities—during times when renewable sources aren’t available.

“There is no doubt that high-capacity batteries will become a part of the overall energy landscape,” said Gary Ison, product development manager at Toyota Material Handling. “Battery manufacturers and OEMs are racing to develop batteries capable of powering electric vehicles like forklifts for extended periods while also storing renewable energy for when the sun isn’t shining and the wind isn’t blowing.” The technology could be compared to Tesla’s Powerwall systems, but on a much grander industrial scale.

The Race to Develop New Battery Technologies

The report highlights rapid advances in battery technology, pointing out that materials such as silicone, graphene, and sodium are gaining attention. Despite this, the much-hyped solid-state batteries—widely considered the future—remain expensive and difficult to produce, delaying their widespread use. This situation echoes the electric vehicle market, where models like the Tesla Model 3 and Nissan Leaf continue to rely on traditional lithium-ion batteries despite the potential of newer technologies.

Alternative Fuels Gaining Traction

In addition to advancements in batteries, Toyota’s report also highlights the growing interest in alternative fuels. Hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) and hydrogen are becoming popular among operators of large fleets. Hydrogen fuel cells, for example, are already in use in high-demand environments such as Amazon warehouses, where fast refueling and emission-free operation are critical. Ison explained, “For companies with access to on-site hydrogen supplies, fuel cells can be refueled in just a few minutes and enable emission-free operations.”

Grid Capacity and Renewable Energy Availability Remain Concerns

Despite the optimism around new technologies, the report warns of ongoing concerns regarding grid capacity and the availability of renewable electricity. These issues are familiar in the UK, where rising electric vehicle adoption has sparked fears of grid overload during peak times. Similar concerns could slow the logistics sector’s transition to electric power, potentially hindering the UK’s net-zero targets.

“Transitioning to sustainable energy sources is one of the most significant issues facing the supply chain sector,” said Ison. “While the shift from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles is well underway, grid stability and reliable electricity generation remain challenges.”

Navigating a Changing Energy Landscape

Toyota’s Trends in Logistics 2024 offers a snapshot of how the logistics industry is navigating the complexities of decarbonization and technological innovation. As the sector strives to balance ambitious climate goals with practical challenges, the report suggests that energy storage will be at the heart of the industry’s future.

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Transport SMEs Boost Investment and Recruitment

Transport SMEs are ready to ramp-up investment, with fresh spending on assets and expanded workforces, Paragon Bank research has found.

Published today in ‘An SME Led Recovery’, a survey of transport SMEs from across the UK identified growing expectations for cashflow to improve – leading to increased investment by businesses in their operations. The first in a series of quarterly research reports that will track the sector, An SME Led Recovery details the performance, plans and ambitions of SMEs, highlighting the central role they play in the UK economy.

Cashflow and turnover set to improve

Conducted for Paragon by Opinium, the research found that 45% of transport SMEs predict that their cashflow will improve substantially over the next three months, rising to 49% over the next six months and 51% over the next year. Only 23% of SMEs had seen their cashflow improve over the previous three months.

Similarly, turnover is also set to improve – 44% of businesses reported rising turnover levels during the first quarter of the year, with 47% expecting turnover to improve further during the second quarter, compared to 27% that forecast a fall.

Investment on the increase

Just under a third of transport SMEs (29%) will use the increased cashflow and financing to increase investment in their businesses, with 55% planning to maintain current investment levels and only 13% expected to reduce spending. The renewed investment will also see the number of transport SMEs investing in electric vehicles rise from 18% in the last six months to 53% across the next six – the same proportion as those set in invest in traditional fuel vehicles.

• Recruitment: 27% > 51%
• HGVs: 25% > 53%
• LCVs 20% > 53%
• Electric Vehicles: 18% > 53%
• Equipment: 13% > 55%
• Machinery: 13% > 47%

SMEs are also planning to boost their operations by increasing their work force, with 29% of businesses planning to recruit over the next six months and 20% planning on reductions.

Confidence strong in business prospects

Transport SMEs expressed confidence in their prospects for their own businesses and the sector in which they operate but were less confident about the macro environment. Over half said they were confident in their own business (55%) and their sector (58%) in the next three months, compared to 15% and 13% respectively that were not confident. Confidence was less strong in the UK economy, with only 39% of transport SMEs surveyed expressing confidence.

SMEs seek finance

The research also found that 44% of transport SMEs sought additional financing over the last three months, with 52% of those businesses seeking over £100,000. While 5% of this group received no additional financing, 17% received some of the finance they were seeking, and the remaining 22% received all the financing they sought.

Writing in ‘An SME Led Recovery’ on the research findings Dale Trenam, Paragon’s Head of Transport, said: “When the UK economy returns to growth, it will be thanks to the dedication and skill of SMEs – and transport SMEs are set to play a vital role in this process.

“Published today in our report, An SME Led Recovery, newly commissioned data finds that transport SMEs are confident, investing and looking to the future – creating the conditions necessary for the economy to bounce back. With the positive news that transport SMEs are planning to invest and grow their operations, it is vital that they can access the funding they need to achieve their goals and fulfil their role in driving forward economic recovery. As SME lending specialists, the Paragon team works with businesses daily – providing us with a first-hand understanding of not only the sector, but also the requirements of individual businesses. By doing so we can develop bespoke deals to ensure that transport SMEs can acquire the assets they need in a way that supports their growth plans.”

Paragon Bank PLC a subsidiary of the Paragon Banking Group PLC which is a FTSE 250 company based in Solihull in the West Midlands. Established in 1985, Paragon Banking Group PLC has over £14 billion of assets under management, helping more than 340,000 customers to achieve their ambitions.

1 in 5 equipped to handle SC disruptions

New research from Capgemini reveals that three-quarters of organisations have been impacted by closing facilities, supply chain disruptions, employee absence, and remote work in the past three years, and less than 20% of organisations feel equipped to handle the impacts of these changes. Capgemini Research Institute’s report, “How greater intelligence could supercharge supply chains”, explores how organisations across industries can leverage technology to create resilient, sustainable, and intelligent supply chains to navigate these disruptions and adapt in real time.

Greater focus on sustainability, global socio-economic changes, and shifting consumer demands has meant that organisations are facing considerable disruption to their supply chains. In this context, leaders’ most pressing concerns are reducing CO2 emissions across all tiers of the supply chain (95%) and growing e-commerce volumes (90%). Around 92% of organisations surveyed said that the ongoing relocation of the global supply chain will impact them but only 15% are equipped to deal with this.

Investing in supply chains now is critical for organisations to be prepared to meet future demands, cites the report. On average over the next three years, organisations plan to increase their investment in supply chain transformation by 17% and expect to double their business outcomes in terms of growth, profitability and sustainability.

Resilience to cope with disruptions

“There are numerous building blocks that need to come together to create a future-ready supply chain network and provide differentiated offerings that customers are looking for. The last few years have highlighted the need for organisations to build agile and resilient supply chains, not only to cope with disruptions but also to help them stay ahead of the curve, especially from a sustainability perspective,” comments Mayank Sharma, Global Supply Chain Lead at Capgemini.

“It is clear that there’s no one-size fits all solution, but organisations that lay the foundation for a data-driven, technology enabled, scalable, and sustainable supply chain are the ones that will reap the most impressive returns in terms of driving improved customer loyalty, creating more business value and meeting sustainability goals.”

The report highlights a need for organisations to design resilient, connected networks with integrated data-driven planning. It suggests that technology will be a critical enabler here, giving organisations access to real-time insights which in turn can enhance the ability to predict change and help them plan for possible future scenarios.

‘Supply chain masters’ – organisations defined as having displayed the ability to successfully balance multiple demands on their supply chain – are already reaping business benefits. The research found that this small cohort of respondents (9.5%) reported a 15% incremental growth in revenues, a 17% reduction in CO2 emissions as well as a 1.8 percentage point higher market share when compared with others.

Focus on sustainability is crucial

Supply chains currently account for over 90% of an organisation’s greenhouse gas emissions. Companies are increasingly reshaping business strategies to prioritise sustainability, with many setting top-line targets to improve the overall environmental impact of their products and services. There is a clear need for supply chains to be at the core of these sustainability initiatives.

The vast majority of organisations surveyed (95%) recognise the need to reduce CO2 emissions across the entire supply chain, but only 13% feel well prepared to handle these changes. Currently, reducing Scope 1 emissions dominates an organisations’ sustainability initiatives (38%), versus scope 2 and 3 emissions which account for 22% and 27% respectively. The report suggests that sustainable practices must be adopted across the value chain with transparent metrics set to measure performance plus real-time tracking systems implemented to monitor performance. Investing in supplier training and education initiatives will help to empower stakeholders to make a real impact and enable an organisation to reach its sustainability goals.

The research found that only one in four have started scaling sustainability initiatives in their supply chains, highlighting opportunity for organisations to improve.

Embrace automation and technology for robust management

As organisations plan to increase investments in supply chain transformation, the report suggests there will be considerable focus on change management and upskilling stakeholders. It will also be important to improve collaboration with ecosystem players (customers, suppliers, peers), as well as invest in automation and robotisation to improve operational efficiency and redeploy resources (such as customer interactions, analysis, dynamic planning and decision-making).

Building a composable, integrated, and customer-centric architecture will enable organisations to respond quickly and mitigate supply or fulfilment risks. This combines a transactional backbone and best-in-class industry solutions for execution, as well as data-sharing and collaborative platforms that breaks down siloes, enabling end-to-end management of the supply chain. Integrating existing, otherwise-siloed supply chain management systems will enable organisations to collate, analyse and react to the huge volume of internal and external data that a network produces.

The research found that supply chain masters stand out from other players by how quickly and accurately they complete this process of aggregating, analysing, and acting upon data. Those who adopt a centralised “control tower” approach, where data is collated in one cohesive and connected dashboard, will help break down silos within the supply chain network to provide end-to-end visibility that enables harmonised management.

Latest global shipping crisis report released

Descartes Systems Group, a global leader in uniting logistics-intensive businesses in commerce, has released its October report on the ongoing global shipping crisis and analysis for logistics and supply chain professionals. The report shows that a slowing economy, retailers reducing purchases, inflation and high fuel costs are finally making an impact on US container imports. The decrease in September import volumes did not, however, have a measurable impact on port delays, especially for East and Gulf Coast ports, which continues to point to congested and challenging global supply chain performance for the rest of 2022.

Container imports into the US in September retreated 11.0% versus September 2021 to 2,215,731 TEUs, though volume was still up 9% from pre-pandemic September 2019. September 2022 volume was also down significantly versus August 2022 with a 12.4% decline (see image). China was a significant contributor to the decline as Chinese imports in September were down 18.3% to 820,329 TEUs compared to August 2022 and down 22.7% versus September 2021.

“This is the first month that US container import volumes are seeing the effects of market headwinds, but we haven’t yet seen a similar reduction in port waiting times, which would help improve global supply chain performance,” said Chris Jones, EVP Industry & Services at Descartes. “The decline in Chinese imports was the greatest driver of the overall decrease in US imports and was felt the most on West Coast ports as most East and Gulf Ports continued operating at higher overall volumes.”

Note: Descartes’ definition of port delay is the difference as measured in days between the Estimated Arrival Date, which is initially declared on the bill of lading, and the date when Descartes receives the CBP-processed bill of lading.

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RCP launches new sustainability vision and roadmap

Rubbermaid Commercial Products LLC (RCP), part of the Newell Brands global portfolio of brands, has launched its brand sustainability vision with a roadmap outlining global, tangible pledges the organisation is making as it continues its journey toward operating as sustainably as possible.

As of 2019, 59% of businesses claimed to have internal sustainability initiatives in place. Pressured by their customers and staff into being demonstrably ‘green’, without transparency and clear definitions of ‘green’, confusion about which practices are actually sustainable can frustrate businesses and consumers alike.

Scientists are increasingly focusing on what effect humans are having on extinction rates, the legacy of acid rain is manifest in acidic oceans and particles of plastic can now be found in human blood. People see these news stories every day and are pressuring businesses to do more.

Through its Love Sustainability Journey, RCP is creating transparent conversation around sustainable practices and goals. The Love Sustainability Journey charts a plan for progress.

“Our Love Sustainability Journey is the first step to engaging our customers, regarding everything that Rubbermaid Commercial Products is doing globally to ensure we operate as sustainably as we can,’’ explained Mike McDermott, CEO of the Commercial Group at Newell Brands.

RCP is dedicated to being part of a concerted sustainability effort across the business world not just through its products, but through vital education and sustainability tools.

As a global leader in the design, manufacturing and delivery of cleaning, hygiene and waste management products, RCP has a significant sustainability role to play at both ends of the process: protecting resources and reducing waste.

Mapping a path across five key areas – Products, Certification and Innovation, Packaging, Operations, Culture and Education – the Sustainability Journey begins the important process of outlining how RCP and other businesses can make incremental gains.

Identifying quantifiable and clear targets is key to RCP’s approach. In addition to aligning itself with Newell Brands’ Corporate Citizenship Goals, RCP is also committing to developing and tracking goals specifically related to its product portfolio, and the associated operations, packaging and certification.

Newell Brands’ packaging goals, for example, include a 2025 target for 100% of direct-sourced paper-based packaging to come from certified, verified or recycled sources.  This specific goal sits alongside six key sustainability actions for product design, which include ‘system efficiency’, supporting the reduction of resource waste throughout each phase of a product’s lifecycle.

Developing long-lasting products is also central to RCP’s Sustainability Journey. McDermott continued: ‘’RCP has a heritage of developing highly durable products that stand the test of time. This equates to less re-manufacture, less transport and less storage than lower quality alternative products that frequently need replacing. All of which is better for the planet. We know, as a manufacturing business, we can’t stop there.’’

Reducing waste to landfill by 90% is another ambitious Newell Brands 2025 target, which RCP plans to support at its own operations locations.

These tangible goals are underscored by RCP‘s Culture and Education Journey target to hold itself to account by issuing its first Sustainability Annual Report in 2023.  A very real way of monitoring progress, the Culture and Education Journey ensures that the team has a shared understanding of RCP’s sustainability goals: environmental education plays a vital role across the organisation.

McDermott concluded: “Newell’s Values constitute Truth, Transparency, Teamwork and Trust, all of which we intend to provide through our journey.

“Investing in sustainable solutions is not only the right thing to do, but is imperative to the long-term value and viability of our resources, our people, our communities and our business.”

CLICK HERE to download The Love Sustainability Journey.

 

 

Report uncovers hidden cost of workplace accidents

A report published by health and safety solutions provider Seton suggests organisations may be unwittingly paying the price for poor health and safety practices in the workplace,.

While accidents that cause injuries, absences, compensation claims and fines are known to be costly, employers aren’t always aware that a poor safety culture can also impact staff morale, productivity and turnover – and ultimately their bottom line.

Seton has published a new report highlighting the benefits of prioritising employee safety, with insights from experts in personal injury law and HR.

Across the UK, almost 700,000 people suffered a non-fatal workplace injury in 2019/20, while 142 were killed in 2020/21, according to the HSE (Health and Safety Executive). This is clearly devastating for workers and their families but it also comes at a cost £5.6bn per year to individuals, employers and the government – or around £1.7m per fatal injury and £8,800 per non-fatal injury.

However, Alex Hinton, a product innovation manager at Seton, believes this is just the tip of the iceberg: “All employers have a legal obligation to protect their staff from harm but it’s more than a tick-box exercise. They need to create a safety culture, where everyone can perform their duties confident that they won’t be exposed to unnecessary risks.

“Choosing the right safety equipment is key. Barriers, for example, are a visible sign that organisations take their obligations seriously – but it’s important to choose ones that are easy to use and won’t leave staff feeling frustrated or worse still, reluctant to deploy them when needed.

“Employees who understand and consistently follow best practice are more likely to perform well and take fewer risks. Similarly, someone who is engaged with company life is more inclined to follow health and safety rules, which is why we’d urge health and safety teams to work closely with their HR teams to communicate relevant messages.”

His comments were echoed by HR consultant Jacqui Adams, of Tick HR, who also contributed to the report. She said: “Given employee expectations around health and safety, any organisation that falls short of the mark is likely to experience high turnover – which affects their bottom line. As well as the cost of replacing someone, they’ll also see skills, knowledge and experience walk out the door, which impacts productivity.

“HR and health and safety have many crossovers and best practice and engagement happens when the two teams work together to achieve the required outcomes.

“I’ve seen both health and safety teams and management view health and safety simply as a form-filling and box-checking exercise. It meant employees then saw health and safety as a ‘nuisance’ and paid little attention to the communications, which wasn’t in anyone’s best interests.”

CLICK HERE to read the full free report Worth the Risk? Counting the cost of health and safety breaches

Blue Yonder report identifies potential 394% ROI

With supply chains continually under pressure to keep commerce moving, companies need supply chain solutions that can provide end-to-end visibility, show value and a quick return on investment. According to the “The Total Economic Impact of Blue Yonder Luminate,” a commissioned study conducted by Forrester Consulting on behalf of Blue Yonder, Blue Yonder’s SaaS-based solutions do just that.

The financial analysis from the study found that companies had a net present value (NPV) of $59.79m and a return on investment (ROI) of 394%. Most companies saw a ROI in less than six months. The study included interviews with nine decision-makers with experience using Blue Yonder’s  solutions including Luminate Logistics – warehouse management and transportation management – Luminate Control Tower, Luminate Commerce, and Luminate Planning.

“To truly digitally transform your supply chain, companies need end-to-end visibility, demand planning, omni-channel commerce, and execution capabilities. Our Luminate solutions, backed by artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), provide our customers with data-driven insights to make smarter, more profitable decisions, allowing them to predict and pivot in times of disruption,” said Vidhya Srinivasan, senior vice president, Platform and Portfolio Marketing, Blue Yonder.

“We believe Forrester TEI study underscores that customers utilising our SaaS-based solutions realise real-world value in the form of strong NPV and ROI, as well as a quick return on investment. The customer quotes in the study tell the real story!”

An e-commerce fulfilment director at a fashion retailer shared: “DC labour shortages and high-demand events put stress on fulfilling orders. For us, a backlog of over seven days is a real problem, and we often times will send the item but not charge the guest for it. We have considered restricting the inventory we advertise on our website in the past. With Blue Yonder, this is no longer a worry.”

Based on the calculations for a $10bn company constructed by Forrester as part of the study based on seven of the decision-makers’ organisations, the financial benefits of Blue Yonder’s Luminate solutions include:

  • Labour productivities totalling $31.2m
  • Transportation costs reduced by $14.1m
  • Markdown reduction driving margin improvement of $15.3m
  • Out-of-stock inventory reduction resulting in margin increase of $6.5m
  • E-commerce labour, software and IT productivities of nearly $1.4m

CLICK HERE to download the “The Total Economic Impact of Blue Yonder Luminate” study

DHL Index: Globalisation resilient during pandemic

DHL and the NYU Stern School of Business have released the 2021 update of the DHL Global Connectedness Index. Now in its 10th year, this report provides a fresh view on the impact of the pandemic on globalisation by analysing international flows of trade, capital, information, and people. While there are different trends across types of flows, the overall DHL Global Connectedness Index just declined very modestly in 2020 and is on track to rise in 2021. Nonetheless, the Covid-19 ‘stress test’ also revealed longstanding vulnerabilities that demand attention moving forward.

“Many feared that the global crisis would jeopardise the progress of globalisation,” said John Pearson, CEO DHL Express. “We have been analysing the various international flows worldwide for years and after 1.5 years of the pandemic, we can now safely assure: the pandemic has not caused globalisation to collapse. After initial dips in 2020, the DHL Global Connectedness Index is already on the rise again this year. Trade has provided a lifeline for countries around the world, and DHL Express has played a key role in areas ranging from vaccine distribution to e-commerce.”

After steeply plummeting early in the pandemic, trade in goods rebounded to above its pre-pandemic level before the end of 2020. Global trade in goods has set new records in 2021. Foreign direct investment flows shrunk even more than trade in 2020, but they are on track for a full recovery in 2021.

International data flows surged in 2020 as in-person interactions went online, but this did not break a longer-term slowdown in the globalisation of information flows. Finally, international flows of people were hit the hardest by the pandemic, and they are recovering slowly. International travel fell 73% in 2020, but there are glimmers of a recovery starting in mid-2021.

“The resilience of global flows is good news, because a connected world offers the best prospects for a strong and sustainable recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic,” said Steven A. Altman (pictured), Senior Research Scholar and Director of the DHL Initiative on Globalisation, NYU Stern. “When a crisis strikes, many of us naturally feel a strong impulse to hunker down behind borders. But the more extreme the challenge, the more urgent it becomes to draw upon the best ideas and resources from at home and abroad.”

The surge of international trade since mid-2020 far surpassed initial forecasts, even as the mix of goods traded changed more than usual. Trade in goods used to fight the pandemic soared while trade in many other products declined. Meanwhile, contrary to expectations that the pandemic would cause a shift to more regionalised trade, trade in goods took place over longer distances, on average, in 2020. Data on capital, information, and people flows also show no clear evidence of a shift underway from globalisation to regionalisation.

The world’s poorest countries, meanwhile, are still lagging behind in the globalisation recovery. Even as global trade was setting new records in early 2021, the countries with the lowest per-capita incomes were still trading less than they did in 2019. Likewise, foreign direct investment into low-income countries fell over the same period, while it grew strongly in middle- and high-income countries. The world’s poorest countries are still dangerously disconnected, and stronger links to the wider world could help accelerate their recoveries from the Covid-19 pandemic.

In a special report on the 10th anniversary of the DHL Global Connectedness Index, DHL and the NYU Stern School of Business highlight strong links between global connectedness and prosperity. This report shows how policymakers can actively impact the connectedness of their countries. Five key areas for improving a country’s connectedness are peace and security, an attractive domestic business environment, openness to international flows, regional integration, and societal support. Remarkably, an attractive domestic business environment may boost a country’s global connectedness even more than traditional pro-globalisation policies.

The report also examines five countries (Mexico, The Netherlands, Sierra Leone, The United Arab Emirates, Viet Nam) that have stood out for their strong or rising connectedness over the past two decades. The various paths these countries took to greater connectedness show that there is no one size-fits-all prescription – instead, each country can pursue the international opportunities that make the most sense in its own local context

Both reports highlight how, despite setbacks, the world remains close to a record high level of globalisation. At the same time, they also show that globalisation is still limited, with large untapped opportunities available for countries and companies. Most business activity still takes place inside national borders, and the flows that do cross national borders mainly take place between neighbouring countries. Prevailing trends still point to a future with large opportunities to gain from stronger links to the wider world.

European road freight market grows by 8.6%

Ti’s latest market projections for 2021 show that the European road freight market is expected to grow by 8.6% year-on-year. Year-on-year growth in the first half of 2021 was very strong at 11.1%. Though H1 growth was against a large contraction in H1 2020, the total 2021 market is expected to be 2.2% larger vs 2019’s pre-pandemic peak, at a total of €352.39bn.

The European road freight market has been on a ‘roller coaster’ ride since the onset of the crisis in Q1 2020. Most recently the strong first half of 2021 was driven by ‘easy’ comparisons against a very weak first half of 2020 throughout which most European economies had instituted lockdown controls of some sort or other. As recovery began in the second half of 2020, there will be a levelling off of year-on-year growth in 2021.

Whilst the general picture through 2021 is one of rebound and recovery there are different stories across the main European economies. When looking at 2021 growth data vs pre-pandemic levels the German road freight industry performed best of the largest markets, growing by 2.6% (projected figures). Germany’s performance is driven largely by trade growth although there have been signs of domestic weakness not least due to issues affecting its important manufacturing sector. Component shortages and supply chain bottlenecks have meant that many automotive manufacturers have been forced to suspend production.

The fact that all of the other large economies experienced such steep drops in market size in 2020 has meant that most are only just recovering to 2019 levels. The disruption to Italy’s manufacturing sector due to Covid has meant that the country’s road freight sector is still 1.9% below its 2019 size. For the UK, international transport proved a drag on the market due to Brexit issues (growth in intra-European trade has only been a third of that recorded by France and Germany) although its domestic performance has been relatively strong.

The 2021 recovery in the international section of the European road freight market has been stronger than domestic, with the international market expected to grow by 11.8% y-o-y, whereas the domestic road freight market was more subdued with 7.2% y-o-y growth. This results from the retail and e-commerce driven nature of the recovery which has stimulated more cross-border flows of consumer goods. Many industrial sectors (such as construction) are still feeling the effects of the downturn and these flows tend to be more domestic in nature, dampening market growth.

The strength and pace of post-pandemic economic recovery since Q3 2020 suggests gathering momentum in the European road freight market over the five-year forecast period to 2025, despite some persistent headwinds in the manufacturing and construction sectors. The total market is forecast to expand at a 4.4% CAGR over the period to 2025, driven by stronger retail sales, notably via online channels, and increased manufacturing and production levels.

Michael Clover, Ti’s Head of Commercial Development, said: “Retail and e-commerce growth has strengthened markedly in the first half of 2021 fuelling the recovery for road freight, however supply constraints in the manufacturing sector have been a drag on overall growth. Over the forecast period we expect continued strong demand from the retail sector and, as we move in the latter years of the forecasts period, we expect to see supply chain challenges in manufacturing and construction unwind to enable stronger growth.”

Ti’s new market projections break down growth in the European road freight market by international/domestic and by country with growth rates provided for H1 and the full year 2021.

CLICK HERE to download Ti’s analysis of overall European road freight growth.

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