Unlocking Millions via Small to Mid-box Developers

Jason Rockett (pictured), managing director of industrial and logistics property company, Potter Space, shares his view on the small to mid-box (sub-100k sq. ft.) property market in light of the company’s new research report, ‘BIG Things in SMALL Boxes’, conducted in collaboration with Savills.

An increasing lack of land is blocking growth for businesses in the small to mid-box (sub 100k sq. ft.) warehousing sector, our latest report has revealed. The stagnation in development has been shown to be holding back job creation and is costing the economy £480 million in Gross Value Added (GVA) per year.

The second edition of our annual industry benchmarking report, BIG things in SMALL boxes, commissioned in collaboration with Savills, aims to lift the lid on the challenges faced by the small to mid-box segment of the market and highlight potential solutions.

It has revealed that the biggest challenge facing the small to mid-box logistics property sector is that of ‘suppressed demand’. This is where demand for space far outstrips the supply of units and land available, with the average figure of suppressed demand currently at 38 per cent across England. It is this lack of supply that is stifling growth in the I&L sector with a significant loss of opportunity for the UK economy.

Among the worst affected areas are Nottingham and Derbyshire (51 per cent), Birmingham (57 per cent) and Leicestershire (101 per cent). While the Midlands is undoubtably an area of focus for the industry, being home to the logistics ‘Golden Triangle’, there are also improvements to be made in areas such as Stoke and Stafford, where suppressed demand currently sits at 50 per cent, and Crawley in the South East, where demand has been suppressed by 166 per cent.

The growing need for space within the small to mid-box sector is undeniable, but there are numerous barriers to the rapid increase of development of smaller premises, often due to decisions made by local planning authorities to provide land to big-box schemes and residential developments. Change is needed now to unlock the supressed demand across the sector and ensure that it continues to grow – generating jobs and wealth for local communities.

To combat these issues, there needs to be a coordinated approach from Government and local authorities to identify opportunities for small to mid-box development alongside other sectors. This will lead to an opportunity for collaboration between a mix of developers.

Co-location of small box schemes alongside big box is a large part of the solution. The responsibility for making this happen lies with local authorities who must think outside the box and seek to understand the benefits that mixed schemes can offer to local economies, workforces, businesses and consumers. Local authorities should take a positive approach to planning to unlock economic benefits and local planners should consider land that is unsuited to bigger warehouses as opportunities for smaller facilities, including areas close to residential developments, beside motorway junctions or railway tracks. Collaboration is key to ensuring that millions of pounds in GVA is unlocked.

Recognise Logistics Facilities as Critical Infrastructure

St. Modwen Logistics, one of the UK’s leading logistics owners and developers, and property adviser Savills, have called for improvements to the planning system to support the growth of the logistics sector and encourage more development of modern, sustainable warehousing to keep pace with increasing demand.

According to analysis undertaken by St. Modwen Logistics and Savills, historic land constraints have suppressed industrial demand by 29% over the past decade. Over that period national availability has consistently been below the ‘equilibrium rate’ of 8% – the rate at which supply and demand are considered to be in balance – leading many fast-growing firms to halt their expansion plans, creating inefficiencies in supply chains. Savills calculates that annual demand for new logistics space exceeds the delivery of new units by 58%.

Responding to the UK Government’s call for evidence on the freight and logistics and the planning system, St. Modwen Logistics and Savills have recommended five key policy changes focused on enabling the planning system to better facilitate the freight and logistics sector’s growth:

• Implement a national policy recognising industrial and logistics facilities as critical national infrastructure and introduce guidance which recognises the importance of wider supply chain employment and the indirect gross value added (GVA) as part of the wider planning balance;
• Utilise the Savills / St. Modwen Logistics ‘Suppressed Demand’ Model within national planning practice guidance (NPPG) as the basis for assessing future demand for logistics space;
• Require local authorities to set five-year employment land supply targets, mirroring their approach to residential land supply;
• A more effective approach to strategic planning, favouring the reintroduction of a strategic tier of planning, helping to broaden planning authorities’ scope of considerations beyond housing market areas and travel to work patterns when assessing potential new logistics developments; and
• Implement a Government-led training programme to upskill local government planners, local members and planning inspectors on commercial markets and the key trends and market conditions that influence future logistics demand.

Together, these measures have the potential to enable the planning system to effectively fulfil its vital role in facilitating freight and logistics growth.

The logistics sector is the fastest growing commercial sector in the UK, and supports a growing, diverse and increasingly higher skilled workforce. The number of people employed across the sector has grown by 30% in the last ten years, versus 15% for the economy as a whole, and average pay within the sector is higher in all regions of England when compared to respective average regional earnings.

This is supported by evidence which shows that in the decade between 2011-2021, the share of higher-skill roles increased by almost a fifth (17%), with the biggest increase being in Professional Occupations, where roles have grown by more than a third (36%). These roles are typically associated with engineering and technological professions as the use of automation and robotics increases in the sector. There has also been an increase in the traditional office-based roles, with roles in this category up by 11% as more businesses choose to bring their operations under one roof and utilise the Grade A office space being provided by developers within warehouse buildings.

Overall, the logistics sector now contributes £238 billion of GVA to the economy each year, accounting for 14% of the UK’s total GVA.

Richard Hickman, Senior Director of Planning at St. Modwen Logistics, commented: “Logistics is a high-productivity and high-growth sector and one of the engines of the national economy, supporting an increasing number of high-skilled jobs across the country. The policy changes we recommend would unlock the delivery of high-quality new warehouse space in the locations where it is most needed.”

Mark Powney, Director of Economics at Savills, added: “The logistics sector has been the fastest growing commercial sector in the UK for over a decade. Jobs in the sector pay better than the national average across an increasingly diverse range of occupations. It is time the planning system takes measures to plan proactively for commercial uses in order help our struggling economy. As part of this, improving the way we plan for the strong demand from logistics occupiers must be a major focus.”

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