Building Resilience in the 2025 Supply Chain

Cyber threats, physical disruptions and global geopolitical challenges. Supply chains world-wide have been shaken over the last few years. As we welcome in the new year, three industry experts look to 2025 and what lies in store.

1. Revolutionising retail strategies

Supply chain disruptions have been a cold shower for retailers this year. From the Red Sea crisis to the recent US port strikes, these events have been a shock to the system. “Retailers didn’t realise how big of an impact it could have on their operations. They’ve been bitten, and now they’re shy,” explains Rob Shaw, GM EMEA at Fluent Commerce. “As a result, CFOs will be nervous about over-exposing themselves.”

For Shaw, it is vital that retailers learn from these disruptions, as well as taking lessons from previous industry upheavals like the COVID-19 pandemic. “Learning from these events, retailers will change the way they source goods. More near-shore supply chains could emerge as companies look to reduce reliance on the Far East.

Rob Shaw, Fluent Commerce

“The introduction of export taxes in the US may also have a significant impact on overseas trade, possibly leading to shifts in market strategies for European brands as they reconsider their expansion plans. Retailers will also be looking closer at how they orchestrate and manage their inventory to ensure they can fulfil the customer promise,” Shaw adds. “With real-time inventory data that shows what stock is available now and in back order transit, retailers can know for certain what they can promise to their consumers – and provide timely updates if disruptions occur.”

2. Preparing for cyber threats

Supply chains in 2024 witnessed their fair share of cyber threats. Dan Bridges, Technical Director – International at Cyware, explains, “as we look toward 2025, it is more crucial than ever to remember the importance of securing our supply chains against the ever-growing threat of cyber-attacks and the harm these can cause.”

Bridges goes on to explain that, “with increasing interconnectivity and supply chain complexity, breaches in one part of the ecosystem can quickly ripple through to other areas, making collective defence strategies more vital than ever to maintain business resilience. Organisations must stay vigilant and acknowledge the need to assess, monitor, and review their own cybersecurity practices as well as those of their third-party vendors. This shift will likely push companies to not only improve their own security postures but also to collaborate more effectively across industries.

Dan Bridges, Cyware

“2025 will likely see a shift toward a more interconnected, regulation-driven cybersecurity landscape, where organisations of all sizes work together to protect not only their own systems but also the broader supply chain ecosystem,” he adds. “This collective approach, driven by legislation and bolstered by technology, promises a more resilient and secure future for businesses worldwide.”

3. Optimising data management

As we move into 2025, factors such as geopolitical volatility, consumer unpredictability and climate change will continue to impact the consumer products value chain. “Therefore, the sector will need to work towards greater efficiency and agility, while also responding to sustainability demands,” notes Ted Combs, Industry Principal for Consumer Products at AVEVA. “Looking ahead, operational data management tools will be indispensable for long-term resilience. Integration with AI capabilities will help drive greater cost and operational advantages. Amid continued global supply chain volatility, companies without real-time demand awareness will risk falling behind.”

As many experts agree, AI will be prevalent throughout 2025. This is echoed by Combs, who believes, “AI is beginning to deliver significant and fast returns on investment, through enhancing data analysis which leads to better decision-making. Companies are becoming laser focused on cost and waste management, using advanced analytics and automation to optimise resource use and reduce waste. This helps firms counter inflationary pressures without sacrificing product quality. Over the next 12 months, operational data management is likely to see widespread adoption as consumer products brands strive to agnostically capture, share and visualise data from the edge to cloud, enhancing decision-making and scalability. Investing in a strong, flexible data infrastructure is crucial for future-proofing assets and maximising returns on new data-sharing technologies.”

Ted Combs, AVEVA

As we look ahead to 2025, the global supply chain landscape will continue to be shaped by the lessons of recent disruptions. Retailers are reevaluating their strategies to build more resilient, efficient and flexible supply chains. Together, these trends highlight a future where innovation, collaboration, and adaptability will be key.

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Businesses Unprepared for Next Global Crisis 

New data from Board International, a leading global provider of Intelligent Planning Solutions which help organisations plan smarter, enabling actionable insights and better outcomes, reveals that despite nearly every global business executing some form of planning transformation attempt since 2020, 90% (Supply chain planning professionals: 88%) report it failing to some degree.

Good intentions aren’t enough

Three years on from Covid-19 caused widespread economic and social disruption, the new Board Planning Transformation Benchmark Survey asked 2,450 decision makers across the UK, US, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia and Singapore how they are faring in light of a series of economic ‘unprecedented’ events. Just 13% (Supply chain planning professionals: 11%) said they were unaffected by events, such as Covid-19, the war in Ukraine and the cost-of-living crisis.

As a result, 85% (Supply chain planning professionals: 89%) of businesses say planning is now taken more seriously across their organisation; 76% (Supply chain planning professionals: 82%) have seen budgets for planning transformation and planning teams increase; and 94% (Supply chain planning professionals: 95%) are being asked for a more strategic approach to planning by their boards and / or investors.

The report highlights that 90% (Supply chain planning professionals: 88%) of transformations failed for one reason or another. A lack of technical capability within the organisation is cited as the top cause of failed transformations by over a quarter (Global: 26%; Supply chain planning professionals: 29%) of decision makers. Lack of investment in skills (Global: 23%; Supply chain planning professionals: 25%) and scarcity of team resources (Global: 22%; Supply chain planning professionals: 21%) came in close second and third places.

Antiquated practises

In addition to skills gaps, the data reveals wide usage of inefficient planning practices are preventing progress. When asked what tools they use to plan, nearly all (Global: 98%; Supply chain planning professionals: 98%) of the decision makers responded that they do some of their planning on spreadsheets like Excel – a tool built in 1985. And planners are taking on average 27 hours (Supply chain planning professionals: 27 hours) a week to model different scenarios for their business.

The need for a new approach is made clear when asked how ready decision makers feel to navigate the next ‘globally significant’ event on the horizon. When asked if they felt ready to cope with continued supply chain disruption (Global: 29%; Supply chain planning professionals: 26%), rising interest rates (Global: 22%; Supply chain planning professionals: 20%), another pandemic (Global: 32%; Supply chain planning professionals: 32%), or a recession (Global: 34%; Supply chain planning professionals: 35%), around a said they were not.

Marco Limena, Board CEO said: “With all the uncertainty that we see in the world, business leaders need to recognize a new reality: the era of continuous disruption is here. Those seven words are meant as a wake-up call for organizations to continuously adapt and find new capabilities and efficiencies to deal with today’s challenging environment. Continuous planning is an imperative, and the good news is that companies that advance their digital capabilities can steer their business at the speed of change and gain a competitive edge.”

About the survey:
2,450 decision-makers across the UK, US, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia and Singapore in the financial, supply chain, or retail and merchandise planning functions in businesses with 500+ employees were surveyed online between the 26th of January and the 2nd of February 2023.  Of these 849 are supply chain planning professionals. The findings for this subset are noted in brackets.

Top 10 Global Supply Chain Disruptions

Resilinc, a global leader in supply chain mapping and risk monitoring, is sharing exclusive new data highlighting the top drivers of supply chain disruptions for 2022. The data, compiled by Resilinc’s EventWatchAI monitoring database reveals that global supply chain disruptions were up 32% year-on-year, with Europe seeing a 38% increase in disruptions during the past twelve months.

The top 10 global supply chain disruptions for 2022 include:

1. Factory Fire

2. Mergers & Acquisition

3. Business Sale

4. Leadership Transition

5. Factory Disruption

6. Labour Disruption

7. Legal Action

8. Cyber Attack

9. Recall

10. Port Disruption

With 3,609 alerts and an 85% year-on-year increase, 2022 trumped previous years with the most factory fires ever recorded in a single year. Much of this trend being driven by gaps in regulatory and process execution, as well as a shortage of skilled labour in warehouses. 2022 also saw a large increase in labour disruptions around the globe marking a 92% year-on-year increase. Clear examples of this are the protests at the Foxconn iPhone factory in China and the Felixstowe port strike in the U.K.

Leadership transitions, like the appointment of new chief executive officers at the shipping company Maersk or the multinational healthcare company, Roche, also saw a big jump this year with a 77% increase over 2021. Top-level management changes can often lead to modifications in corporate strategy. Despite not making the top 10 list, Resilinc’s data shows that geopolitical disruptions saw a 378% increase from 2021 predominantly stemming from the Russia/Ukraine conflict. Beyond that, airport disruptions jumped 189% and economic instability caused bankruptcies to climb over 270% last year.

The five most disrupted industries included Life Sciences, Healthcare, General Manufacturing, High Tech, and Automotive, marking it the second year in a row these particular industries have been the most impacted. Of all the 15,354 EventWatchAI notifications sent, more than half (56%) were impactful enough to trigger the creation of a WarRoom—virtual platforms in the Resilinc dashboard where customers and their suppliers communicate and collaborate to assess and resolve disruptions.

Geographically, North America experienced the most disruptions accounting for just over half (51%) of the total alerts issued, followed by Europe and then Asia. Resilinc’s data is gathered by its 24/7 global event monitoring Artificial Intelligence, EventWatch AI, which collects information and monitors news on 400 different types of disruptions across 104 million sources including traditional news sources, social media platforms, wire services, videos, and government reports. Annually, the AI contextualizes and analyses nearly 5 billion data feeds across 100 languages and countries, making EventWatchAI the industry’s largest, most comprehensive supply chain risk monitoring portfolio.

Since our launch in 2010 Resilinc has defined the supply chain mapping, monitoring, and resiliency space and is widely considered the gold standard for supply chain resiliency, worldwide. With over 1 million supplier sites mapped encompassing over 4 million parts and raw materials, we are the first line of defense for our customers, helping them navigate supply disruptions. Our early-warning alert system monitors and predicts potential disruptions across suppliers, sites, and materials; our platform enables them to collaborate closely with their suppliers; our historical data-backed insights give them options on appropriate actions to take. Always innovating, our AI-powered predictive solutions can predict delivery delays, price movements, and supply constraints for raw materials and commodities before they happen.

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