Tariffs Trigger Firms to Shift Operations Closer to Home

While headlines have focused on the economic shocks of US trade policy, research shows UK companies are taking proactive steps to localise supply chains, safeguard operations, and offset inflationary pressures.

“Tariffs and trade shocks have put UK firms under real pressure – but they’re not retreating, they’re rewiring. This is a strategic reset – not just a stopgap. The UK is leading Europe in nearshoring and local sourcing, not just to cut costs but to take control. This is a strategic reset – not just a stopgap,” says Matthew Woodcock, Regional VP, CVM/Supply Chain Strategy (EMEA & APAC), Coupa.

Businesses are responding to rising global tariffs and supply chain volatility by taking decisive action. According to new research from Coupa, a leading AI-native total spend management platform, 85% of UK companies are increasing or planning to increase nearshoring over the next 12 months to shift operations closer to home – more than any other country surveyed, including the US (74%), Germany (74%), and France (66%).

Rather than absorb cost shocks passively, UK businesses are strategically reshaping their supply chains to prioritise local suppliers, reduce dependencies on high-risk regions, and build greater resilience into business operations.

Pricing remains a primary pressure point. 61% of UK suppliers plan to raise prices by five to ten percent – the highest share across any country surveyed – with a further 22% expecting to increase prices by more than ten percent. These hikes are expected to hit consumers directly in the coming months, with rising supplier costs likely to be passed along the value chain. To manage margin erosion, businesses are turning to mitigation strategies such as stockpiling inventory (38%) and increasing local sourcing (37%), signalling an urgent shift to contain upstream costs and safeguard downstream stability.

While almost half (49%) of UK firms report that recent US trade policies have negatively impacted their bottom line, only six percent forecast revenue losses above ten percent. This suggests businesses are feeling the pressure but remain comparatively confident in their ability to adapt.

This resilience is underpinned by decisive sourcing shifts. UK companies are moving away from perceived high-risk regions, with 31 percent pulling back from the US and 27 percent from China. Instead, they are increasingly prioritising domestic and European partners, with 41 percent sourcing more from the UK itself, 41 percent from Germany, and 31 percent from France. In total, 75 percent of UK suppliers now prioritise local sourcing in their future strategies – a higher proportion than in Germany (70%) or France (67%).

At the same time, the criteria UK buyers use to select suppliers is shifting. While price remains important, businesses are placing greater emphasis on reliability and compliance. 53% of UK buyers cite proven quality and reliability as a top priority. Stable and competitive pricing (57%) and full regulatory compliance (47%) is also important. These figures point to a clear pivot from cost-efficiency to risk reduction and supply assurance.

Woodcock adds: “Periods of disruption always create space for reinvention – and the smartest companies are using this moment to sharpen their competitive edge. UK firms aren’t just surviving – they’re simplifying, localising, and building supply chains fit for the future.”

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Tariffs and Trade Barriers as Top Concern of Supply Chain Leaders

 

DHL Suspends High-Value US Deliveries

DHL Express has temporarily suspended deliveries of goods worth more than $800 to the United States, citing a “significant increase” in customs red tape linked to new tariff rules introduced by US President Donald Trump.

Starting Today (21st April 2025), the company will halt shipments from businesses in all countries to American consumers for packages above the $800 threshold, stating the move will remain in place “until further notice.” Deliveries between businesses (B2B) will continue but may also experience delays.

Previously, goods valued up to $2,500 could enter the US with minimal paperwork. However, tighter customs checks implemented alongside Trump’s recent tariffs have now lowered that threshold, triggering a spike in formal customs clearances.

DHL said this surge has strained operations:

“While we are working to scale up and manage this increase, shipments worth over $800, regardless of origin, may experience multi-day delays.”

Shipments valued under $800 will still be delivered and continue to face minimal customs scrutiny—for now. But additional changes are on the horizon. On 2 May, the White House is expected to close a loophole that allows low-value packages, particularly from China and Hong Kong, to enter the US without paying duties.

In a related move, Hongkong Post announced it is suspending all sea mail deliveries to the US and will stop accepting any parcels bound for the US starting 27 April. It described the US approach as “unreasonable, bullying and imposing tariffs abusively.”

As global shipping lanes become increasingly entangled with geopolitics and security concerns, logistics providers are facing new challenges in cross-border parcel delivery—particularly into the US.

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US Trade Tariffs Set to Wreak Havoc on Global Supply Chains

US Trade Tariffs Set to Wreak Havoc on Global Supply Chains

The global trade landscape is bracing for further turbulence as US President Donald Trump signals that the European Union (EU) could be the next target for tariffs. Following the imposition of 25% levies on goods from Mexico and Canada, along with an additional 10% tax on imports from China, European businesses now face the possibility of similar trade barriers.

Last night (10th February 2025), President Trump confirmed higher tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports – a measure that UK producers say will prove a “devastating blow”.

Rob Shaw, GM EMEA at Fluent Commerce, warns that the market is already in an unstable, ever-changing state, and escalating tariffs could send supply chains into further disarray.

“If the US does proceed with imposing tariffs, other countries will retaliate, as we’ve already seen with China. In this scenario, tariffs may be imposed in the opposite direction, raising costs within the supply chain,” Shaw explains.

“Ultimately, it’s consumers who will bear the brunt of these changes. To protect their profit margins, businesses will inevitably pass on higher costs, placing additional financial strain on buyers already struggling with economic pressures. The exception is the luxury goods market, where high-income consumers will be able to absorb the additional costs.”

The uncertainty has placed UK and EU businesses in a state of limbo, with many preparing contingency plans in case tariffs are imposed. Some companies are considering stockpiling goods to cushion supply disruptions, though this comes with logistical and financial risks. Others are looking to invest in real-time visibility tools to better navigate inventory and supply chain fluctuations.

European Industries Facing a Catch-22 Situation

With potential tariffs looming, some of Europe’s key industries could be forced into difficult decisions. Simon Bowes, CVP Manufacturing Industry Strategy EMEA at Blue Yonder, describes the impact as a “catch-22 dilemma” for sectors like pharmaceuticals.

“Either bear the cost of relocation or absorb the tariffs and face increased costs for manufacturers and consumers,” Bowes explains.

For the luxury goods sector, the impact is expected to be less severe due to the high profit margins that can absorb additional costs. However, the European automotive industry faces a far greater threat.

“For European automotive companies, the threat of tariffs is much more significant. The industry is already struggling due to competition from China, the withdrawal of electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in key markets, and the ongoing transition to European sustainability regulation,” says Bowes.

“As the US is a critical market for European car makers, tariff threats are sending the industry to boiling point—and if placed on internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), it would put a tin lid on everything that’s going bad for the industry.”

With demand for European vehicles in the US already under pressure, tariffs could significantly reduce sales volumes and accelerate production shifts to alternative markets.

Can AI and Tech Help Businesses Navigate the Crisis?

As trade tensions rise, businesses are increasingly turning to technology-driven solutions to navigate the uncertainty. Advanced supply chain management tools and AI-driven scenario modeling are emerging as critical assets for companies trying to mitigate risks.

“As tariff threats loom, businesses critically require flexible tech-led capabilities to execute strategies quickly,” says Bowes.

“Artificial intelligence (AI) can evaluate vast amounts of real-time data. Working like a GPS system, it simulates ‘what if’ scenarios tailored to different variables, meaning businesses can strategically decide the best course of action, whether that is using new suppliers, using a co-manufacturer, or absorbing tariff costs.”

Will Other Countries Retaliate?

One of the most pressing concerns is whether the US tariff strategy will provoke widespread retaliation, leading to a global trade war. If that happens, the ability of businesses to leverage international specialization—such as Taiwan’s semiconductor industry or Germany’s automotive expertise—could be significantly disrupted.

“If US tariffs are imposed, it could set off a chain reaction across the globe,” Bowes warns.

“The rise of tariffs would likely stifle competition and innovation, and while some industries could benefit from protectionism, others would undoubtedly face higher costs and reduced market access.”

The Road Ahead: A Waiting Game for Global Markets

With no immediate resolution in sight, businesses across the UK, EU, and beyond remain in a tense waiting game. If President Trump follows through with EU tariffs, companies will need to adapt quickly—whether through price adjustments, supply chain restructuring, or technological investment.

As global trade remains volatile and unpredictable, one thing is clear: the decisions made in Washington will send ripples through supply chains worldwide.

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